SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets — 168 contracts, SF signal on every row.

168 live Kalshi contracts (51 audited). Median implied probability sits at 42%. 487 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXALBUMEQUIV-PIC26OCT15-5K +79c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXALBUMEQUIV.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXALBUMEQUIV
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXALBUMEQUIV
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXALBUMEQUIV",
    "label": "Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 168,
    "volume24hSum": 7507.7,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 26 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$7.5K+158%
min $2.1Kmax $31.0K
Breadth21%+20.8pp
min -56%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 12:15 UTC
Aug 19past 7d · UTCAug 26 · 10:23

Live contracts

168

Median IY

42¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$7.5K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+79¢

KXALBUMEQUIV-PIC26OCT15-5K

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets — liquidity topography (top 48 of 168 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 18.8 → 17737.5%

$10$100$1,0001d7d30d90d17737.58878.118.8

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets

Showing top 20 of 168

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2K62¢
IY 302%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$752
Will PRIMA by ADÉLA have above 20000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 04, 2026 - September 10, 2026 tracking week?: Above 20K92¢
IY 175%Cliff 12Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$567
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 10000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10K50¢
IY 607%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$510
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 5K28¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$450
Will Pylon by beabadoobee have above 20000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week?: Above 20K57¢
IY 858%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$425
Will I’m So Happy by Ms. Rachel have above 10000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 25, 2026 - October 01, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10K84¢
IY 178%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$416
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 7K7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$400
Will PRIMA by ADÉLA have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 04, 2026 - September 10, 2026 tracking week?: Above 40K38¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 880%Resid —$400
Will PRIMA by ADÉLA have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 04, 2026 - September 10, 2026 tracking week?: Above 25K79¢
IY 536%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$397
Will PRIMA by ADÉLA have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 04, 2026 - September 10, 2026 tracking week?: Above 15K93¢
IY 152%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$351
Will PRIMA by ADÉLA have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 04, 2026 - September 10, 2026 tracking week?: Above 30K71¢
IY 824%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 759%Resid —$280
Will Palace For The People by Greta Van Fleet have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?: Above 30K43¢
IY 911%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$272
Will She’s The Best by Troye Sivan have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?: Above 15K86¢
IY 112%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$224
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?: Above 12K30¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$205
Will Angel by Lizzy McAlpine have above Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week?: Above 25K37¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$205
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?: Above 15K12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$202
Will Pylon by beabadoobee have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week?: Above 12K83¢
IY 233%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$201
Will Pylon by beabadoobee have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week?: Above 25K42¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$200
Will Pylon by beabadoobee have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week?: Above 15K71¢
IY 464%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$200
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 10000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10K5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$150
168 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets

From market_changes
18h agoKalshi
Will Pick You Up by Sheryl Crow have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?: Above 5K
80¢1→80 (+79)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Will Cookie Happened by Eels have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2K
79¢1→79 (+78)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2K
79¢1→79 (+78)
open →
15h agoKalshi
Will Pick You Up by Sheryl Crow have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?: Above 5K
6¢80→6 (-74)
open →
14h agoKalshi
Will Pick You Up by Sheryl Crow have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?: Above 5K
80¢6→80 (+74)
open →
15h agoKalshi
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2K
6¢79→6 (-73)
open →
15h agoKalshi
Will Cookie Happened by Eels have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2K
6¢79→6 (-73)
open →
14h agoKalshi
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2K
79¢6→79 (+73)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 26 Aug 2026 11:38:41 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXALBUMEQUIV →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →