SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets — 110 contracts, SF signal on every row.

110 live Kalshi contracts (51 audited). Median implied probability sits at 61%. 46 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXALBUMEQUIV-BOY26JUN04-50K +87c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXALBUMEQUIV.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXALBUMEQUIV
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXALBUMEQUIV
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXALBUMEQUIV",
    "label": "Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 110,
    "volume24hSum": 14105.51,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 27 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$14.1K-82%
min $1.6Kmax $165.6K
Breadth52%-24.7pp
min -50%max 75%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 17:45 UTC
May 22past 6d · UTCMay 27 · 16:23

Live contracts

110

Median IY

61¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$14.1K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+87¢

KXALBUMEQUIV-BOY26JUN04-50K

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets — liquidity topography (top 38 of 110 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 45.4 → 100000.0%

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d100000.050022.745.4

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets

Showing top 20 of 110

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will ICEMAN by Drake have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 22, 2026 - May 28, 2026 tracking week?: Above 200K96¢
IY 393%Cliff 24Edge —RVol 228%Resid —$7.4K
Will Terrified. by fakemink have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 22, 2026 - May 28, 2026 tracking week?: Above 7K46¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$2.6K
Will Terrified. by fakemink have above 10000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 22, 2026 - May 28, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10K6¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$600
Will BITCH by Lizzo have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week?: Above 30K64¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$493
Will ICEMAN by Drake have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 22, 2026 - May 28, 2026 tracking week?: Above 250K7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$421
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 120000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 120K63¢
IY 358%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$300
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above 400000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week?: Above 400K36¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$257
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 100K73¢
IY 225%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$200
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 90000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 90K55¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$174
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week?: Above 100K97¢
IY 45%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$161
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above 500000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week?: Above 500K10¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$157
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above 350000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week?: Above 350K67¢
IY 723%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 935%Resid —$150
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 150K53¢
IY 541%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$142
Will Do That Again by Malcolm Todd have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week?: Above 100K5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$98
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo have above 450000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 12, 2026 - June 18, 2026 tracking week?: Above 450K21¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$85
Will Cry Baby by Vince Staples have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week?: Above 6K78¢
IY 576%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$80
Will Cry Baby by Vince Staples have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week?: Above 3K89¢
IY 252%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$76
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026?: Above 12K91¢
IY 332%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$50
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026?: Above 3K92¢
IY 292%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$50
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026?: Above 6K91¢
IY 332%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$50
110 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets

From market_changes
45m agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 50000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 50K
88¢1→88 (+87)
open →
1h agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 60K
79¢1→79 (+78)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 40K
85¢8→85 (+77)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 50000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 50K
83¢8→83 (+75)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 60K
77¢8→77 (+69)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 90000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 90K
1¢64→1 (-63)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 70000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 70K
69¢8→69 (+61)
open →
45m agoKalshi
Will The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 90000 Album Equivalent Units during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week?: Above 90K
55¢1→55 (+54)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 27 May 2026 17:08:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXALBUMEQUIV →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →