Yes · KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN
Yes is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
66¢ current
+46¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump attends any 2026 Pro Basketball finals game in person, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$41K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 20, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump attends any 2026 Pro Basketball finals game in person, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 20, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
Event family
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 67¢
Current share
100%
Yes
kalshi · KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.