drop dead · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27
drop dead is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27.
Price history
39¢ current
+34¢Contract brief
If drop dead is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
drop dead
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
hate that i made you love me 88¢
Range
13¢-88¢
Family volume
$14K
Identifier
KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-DRO
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Family volume
$14K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If drop dead is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-DRO
Event family
KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
hate that i made you love me 88¢
Current share
9%
hate that i made you love me
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-HAT
Janice STFU
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-JAN
Choosin' Texas
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-CHO
drop dead
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-DRO
the cure
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUN27-CUR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.