Elon Musk's net worth for May above $630 billion
Above $630 billion is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside Will Elon Musk's net worth for May be above $6.
Price history
82¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $630 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $630 billion
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
Above $640 billion 95¢
Range
39¢-95¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T630
May 27, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$203
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · Will Elon Musk's net worth for May be above $6
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $630 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T630
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at —.
Event family
Will Elon Musk's net worth for May be above $6.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above $640 billion 95¢
Current share
0%
Above $640 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T640
Above $675 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T675
Above $670 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T670
Above $625 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T625
Above $650 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T650
Above $645 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T645
Above $630 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T630
Above $635 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T635
Above $655 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T655
Above $660 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T660
Above $665 billion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T665
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 82% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.