SimpleFunctions

Elon Musk's net worth for May above $670 billion

Above $670 billion is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 27¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Will Elon Musk's net worth for May be above $6.

Price history

66¢ current

+27¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 4, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Elon Musk's net worth is above $670 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $670 billion

Rank

#5 of 11

Leader

Above $625 billion 91¢

Range

10¢-91¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T670

May 23, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
May 23, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

70¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

27¢

Reported volume

$467

Family rank

#5 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Elon Musk's net worth for May be above $6

Closes

May 31, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 97¢

Kalshi
27¢ spread
BidSize
68¢81
63¢16
37¢169
35¢32
AskSize
97¢200
98¢200
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Elon Musk's net worth is above $670 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

KXMUSKNW-26MAY31-T670

SF Signal
SF Index
10571.83
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1941.8%

IY (No)

10571.8%

Adj IY

10572%

CRI

2

RV

1625%

VR

1.89

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1941.8%
10571.8%
Adj IY
10572%
2
RV
1625%
VR
1.89
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
4.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.