SimpleFunctions

Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic to win the Siniakova / Townsend vs Arango / Jovic

Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 19¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29SINTOWARAJOV.

Price history

24¢ current

+19¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic wins the Siniakova / Townsend vs Arango / Jovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Katerina Siniakova / Taylor Townsend 87¢

Range

4¢-87¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29SINTOWARAJOV-ARAJOV

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

Ask

23¢

Spread

19¢

24h volume

$603

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29SINTOWARAJOV

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 23¢

Kalshi
19¢ spread
BidSize
100¢500
4¢501
3¢1.0K
AskSize
23¢555
66¢51
67¢859
68¢30
77¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic wins the Siniakova / Townsend vs Arango / Jovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29SINTOWARAJOV-ARAJOV

SF Signal
SF Index
60351.36
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29SINTOWARAJOV.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Katerina Siniakova / Taylor Townsend 87¢

Current share

48%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

60351.4%

IY (No)

104.8%

Adj IY

60351%

CRI

24

RV

3990%

VR

4.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

60351.4%
104.8%
Adj IY
60351%
24
RV
3990%
VR
4.10
IAR
0.5/h

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.