SimpleFunctions

eternal premium · KXCS2GAME-26JUN081330EPMIS

eternal premium is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXCS2GAME-26JUN081330EPMIS.

Price history

52¢ current

+48¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 6, 2026Jun 7, 2026

Contract brief

If eternal premium wins the ESEA Advanced Europe 2026: eternal premium vs. Misa Esports CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

eternal premium

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Misa Esports 52¢

Range

46¢-52¢

Family volume

$60

Identifier

KXCS2GAME-26JUN081330EPMIS-EP

Jun 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

47¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$15

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXCS2GAME-26JUN081330EPMIS

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$60

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 54¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
47¢1
46¢1
44¢200
43¢311
27¢213
AskSize
54¢121
55¢134
63¢212
64¢1
67¢7

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If eternal premium wins the ESEA Advanced Europe 2026: eternal premium vs. Misa Esports CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXCS2GAME-26JUN081330EPMIS-EP

SF Signal
SF Index
2523.57
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXCS2GAME-26JUN081330EPMIS.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$60

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Misa Esports 52¢

Current share

25%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2902.0%

IY (No)

2105.8%

Adj IY

2524%

CRI

1

RV

2301%

VR

3.99

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2902.0%
2105.8%
Adj IY
2524%
1
RV
2301%
VR
3.99
IAR
1.8/h
LAS
0.13

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.