Ethereum reach below $750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET
Below $750.00 is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will Ethereum reach below $.
Price history
18¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $750.00
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Below $1,500.00 79¢
Range
18¢-79¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXETHMINY-27JAN01-750
Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Ethereum reach below $
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXETHMINY-27JAN01-750
Event family
Will Ethereum reach below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Below $1,500.00 79¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.