December 31, 2027 · Will Exponent launch a token by ___
December 31, 2027 is priced at 66¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 65¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will Exponent launch a token by ___?.
Price history
66¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
December 31, 2027
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
December 31, 2027 66¢
Range
5¢-66¢
Family volume
$406K
Identifier
0x98d54453...a642
May 27, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
65¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$160
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$406K
Orderbook snapshot
65 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
0x98d54453…a642
Event family
Will Exponent launch a token by ___.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$406K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
December 31, 2027 66¢
Current share
0%
December 31, 2027
polymarket · 0x98d54453621129d07bfda4840fb6aa59f98fd90663e7fa5ab4541b7ed21da642
December 31, 2026
polymarket · 0x411d2f1251d86d9a4f30186c660745c597d18a19737fd8f7b4ee1483ece9ffde
September 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x8f556c1a64b593796ea422693ff29a3ff768cede5e5991f7a46bb0ec59a2e7c0
June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x0569085637b507bc48d2b1f78b07156ce07fad4ed9495dd3ed15964ffce2bab0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.