Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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26¢
Bid/Ask 10/42¢·Spread 32¢·Vol $0·OI $944.722·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
0x8f556c1a64b593796ea422693ff29a3ff768cede5e5991f7a46bb0ec59a2e7c0
7-day price448 snapshots · 3 regime
28¢26¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 408.7%
IY (No) 50.5%
Adj IY 409%
CRI 3
RV 852%
VR 3.72
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)408.7%
IY (No)50.5%
Adj IY409%
CRI3
RV852%
VR3.72
IAR0.6/h
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
32¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:16:34 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8f556c1a64b593796ea422693ff29a3ff768cede5e5991f7a46bb0ec59a2e7c0 yes 100

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