Will Fabiano Caruana win the Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals?
This contract is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
10
Family volume
$146
Best sibling
Alireza Firouzja 10¢
Ticker
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-FCAR
Price history
26¢ current
+9¢Orderbook snapshot
19 / 27¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Fabiano Caruana wins the Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Identifier
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-FCAR
Event family
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$146
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Fabiano Caruana 19¢
Current share
50%
Fabiano Caruana
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-FCAR
Alireza Firouzja
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-AFIR
Vincent Keymer
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-VKEY
Wesley So
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-WSO
Hans Niemann
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-HNIE
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-MVAC
Javokhir Sindarov
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-JSIN
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-NABD
Anish Giri
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-AGIR
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-RPRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 26% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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