SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Florida be a top 25 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?

This contract is priced at 90¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 18¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$0 volume
16.0 LAS liquidity

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Duke 82¢

Ticker

KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T25-FLA

Market snapshot

Florida in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Florida be a top 25 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?. The displayed quote is 90¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T25 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Florida

Family rank

#2 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

90¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

16 outcomes · KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T25

Quote range

2¢-82¢

Family leader

Duke 82¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T25-FLA. Family volume: .

Price history

90¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

81 / 99¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
81¢5
80¢500
4¢5.0K
2¢47
AskSize
99¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Florida is ranked top 25 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T25-FLA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

36.5%

IY (No)

663.9%

Adj IY

258%

CRI

4

Overround

7.7%

LAS

0.22

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

36.5%
663.9%
Adj IY
258%
4
Overround
7.7%
LAS
0.22

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index