Will Florida qualify for the College Baseball World Series?
Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Will Florida qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 60¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 4353% implied yield on Yes contracts.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 4353% implied yield on Yes contracts. The 85¢ spread is unusually wide for a binary market, and the high Cliff Risk Index of 8 suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or late-breaking information. With 68 days until expiry and Florida's baseball program typically competitive, the zero price likely reflects minimal market participation rather than genuine conviction that they won't qualify.
Resolution rules
If Florida qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-UF yes 100