Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo · KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3
Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo is priced at 51¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3.
Price history
51¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Francisco Cerundolo wins set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo 36¢
Range
35¢-36¢
Family volume
$9
Identifier
KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3-CER
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
30¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$9
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Francisco Cerundolo wins set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3-CER
Event family
KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo 36¢
Current share
0%
Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo
kalshi · KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3-CER
Will Zachary Svajda win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Zachary Svajda
kalshi · KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3-SVA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 51% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.