SimpleFunctions

Will Zachary Svajda win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Zachary Svajda · KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3

Will Zachary Svajda win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Zachary Svajda is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3.

Price history

35¢ current

+1¢
25¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Zachary Svajda wins set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Zachary Svajda win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Zachary Svajda

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo 35¢

Range

34¢-35¢

Family volume

$9

Identifier

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3-SVA

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

63¢

Spread

29¢

24h volume

$9

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$9

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 63¢

Kalshi
29¢ spread
BidSize
100¢701
34¢25
33¢12
3¢146
AskSize
63¢25
64¢10
66¢16
97¢90
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Zachary Svajda wins set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3-SVA

SF Signal
SF Index
2268.17
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAY30CERSVA-3.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$9

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Will Francisco Cerundolo win set 3 in the Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda match: Francisco Cerundolo 35¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4536.3%
1203.9%
Adj IY
2268%
2

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.