Franco Colapinto · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26
Franco Colapinto is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXF1TOP10-MONGP26.
Price history
56¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If Franco Colapinto finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Franco Colapinto
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Charles Leclerc 85¢
Range
5¢-85¢
Family volume
$25
Identifier
KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-COL
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$37
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$25
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Franco Colapinto finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-COL
Event family
KXF1TOP10-MONGP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Charles Leclerc 85¢
Current share
0%
Charles Leclerc
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-LEC
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-ANT
George Russell
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-RUS
Lando Norris
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-NOR
Lewis Hamilton
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-HAM
Isack Hadjar
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-HAD
Franco Colapinto
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-COL
Pierre Gasly
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-GAS
Oliver Bearman
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-BEA
Carlos Sainz Jr.
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-SAI
Alexander Albon
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-ALB
Liam Lawson
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-LAW
Arvid Lindblad
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-LIN
Nico Hulkenberg
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-HUL
Valtteri Bottas
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-BOT
Gabriel Bortoleto
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-BOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.