Pierre Gasly · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26
Pierre Gasly is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXF1TOP10-MONGP26.
Price history
53¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Pierre Gasly finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pierre Gasly
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Charles Leclerc 83¢
Range
5¢-83¢
Family volume
$25
Identifier
KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-GAS
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$25
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pierre Gasly finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-GAS
Event family
KXF1TOP10-MONGP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Charles Leclerc 83¢
Current share
37%
Charles Leclerc
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-LEC
George Russell
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-RUS
Lando Norris
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-NOR
Max Verstappen
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-VER
Oscar Piastri
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-PIA
Lewis Hamilton
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-HAM
Isack Hadjar
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-HAD
Pierre Gasly
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-GAS
Franco Colapinto
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-COL
Oliver Bearman
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-BEA
Carlos Sainz Jr.
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-SAI
Alexander Albon
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-ALB
Esteban Ocon
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-OCO
Liam Lawson
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-LAW
Nico Hulkenberg
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-HUL
Gabriel Bortoleto
kalshi · KXF1TOP10-MONGP26-BOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 53% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.