SimpleFunctions

Futu Holdings Limited report above 3550 thousand total funded accounts in Q1 2026

Above 3550 thousand is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Futu Holdings Limited report.

Price history

90¢ current

+87¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 20, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Futu Holdings Limited reports above 3550000 total funded accounts in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 3550 thousand

Rank

#2 of 7

Leader

Above 3500 thousand 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXFUTU-26MAYFUNDED-P3550000

May 27, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

86¢

Ask

91¢

Spread

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#2 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Futu Holdings Limited report

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

86 / 91¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
86¢52
85¢250
47¢131
3¢5.0K
AskSize
91¢400
92¢250
98¢86
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Futu Holdings Limited reports above 3550000 total funded accounts in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Identifier

KXFUTU-26MAYFUNDED-P3550000

SF Signal
SF Index
3477.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

195.7%

IY (No)

7383.0%

Adj IY

3477%

CRI

6

Overround

0.9%

LAS

0.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

195.7%
7383.0%
Adj IY
3477%
6
Overround
0.9%
LAS
0.06

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.