SimpleFunctions

Grab Holdings Limited report above 53.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026

above 53.5 million is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 5.

Price history

60¢ current

+57¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 20, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Grab Holdings Limited reports above 53500000.0 monthly transacting users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 53.5 million

Rank

#4 of 6

Leader

above 52 million 95¢

Range

10¢-95¢

Family volume

$14

Identifier

KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P53500000.0

May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

55¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#4 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 5

Closes

Aug 28, 2026

Family volume

$14

Orderbook snapshot

55 / 60¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
55¢5
54¢250
2¢4.0K
AskSize
60¢292
61¢250
98¢5.0K
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Grab Holdings Limited reports above 53500000.0 monthly transacting users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 28, 2026

Identifier

KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P53500000.0

SF Signal
SF Index
241.32
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 5.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$14

Outcomes

6

Highest price

above 52 million 95¢

Current share

57%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

323.1%

IY (No)

482.6%

Adj IY

241%

CRI

1

Overround

2.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

323.1%
482.6%
Adj IY
241%
1
Overround
2.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.