Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 53.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026
Leader sits at 95% across 6 bound outcomes, runner-up at 92%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above 52 million
Outcomes
6
winner-take-all
Runner-up
92¢
above 52.5 million
Spread
3pp
contested
24h volume
$14
thin orderbook
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
93 days
Venue
Kalshi
6 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 5
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 53.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 53.5 million
KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P53500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 53 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 53 million
KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P53000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 54.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 54.5 million
KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P54500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 54 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 54 million
KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P54000000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 52.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 52.5 million
KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P52500000.0
Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 52 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 52 million
KXGRAB-26JULMTU-P52000000.0
What moved the line
- May 21above 52.5 million↑29pp57→86¢ · Kalshi
- May 21above 52 million↑25pp70→95¢ · Kalshi
- May 21above 53 million↑24pp48→72¢ · Kalshi
- May 21above 53.5 million↑17pp34→51¢ · Kalshi
- May 21above 54 million↑8pp14→22¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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