SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 23, 202615 days left

Will Grant Dawson win the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki UFC fight in Round 2

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$101 volume
$101 liquidity
10% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$992

Best sibling

Will either competitor win the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest: Decision / Draw / No Contest 46¢

Ticker

KXUFCVICROUND-26MAY09DAWREB-DAW2

Market snapshot

Will Grant Dawson win the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki UFC fight in Round 2: Grant Dawson to win in Round 2 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Grant Dawson win the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki UFC fight in Round 2. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $101. In the KXUFCVICROUND-26MAY09DAWREB family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will Grant Dawson win the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki UFC fight in Round 2: Grant Dawson to win in Round 2

Family rank

#3 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 23, 2026

24h volume

$101

Family context

5 outcomes · KXUFCVICROUND-26MAY09DAWREB

Quote range

5¢-46¢

Family leader

Will either competitor win the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki fight by decision or the fight result in a draw/no contest: Decision / Draw / No Contest 46¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXUFCVICROUND-26MAY09DAWREB-DAW2. Family volume: $992.

Price history

28¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 12¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
5¢1.0K
2¢3
AskSize
12¢5
13¢3.1K
14¢90
21¢32
22¢288

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Grant Dawson wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki UFC fight originally scheduled for May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 23, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCVICROUND-26MAY09DAWREB-DAW2

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

47425.3%

IY (No)

131.4%

Adj IY

23713%

CRI

19

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

47425.3%
131.4%
Adj IY
23713%
19
Overround
-0.3%

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