SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$3K volume
$6K liquidity
59% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

May 31 2¢

Ticker

0x4e06c069…4910

Market snapshot

June 30 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $215. In the Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

June 30

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$215

Family context

2 outcomes · Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?

Quote range

2¢-9¢

Family leader

June 30 9¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Venue identifier: 0x4e06c069b48206b138c70caf6ff03a2dbf5796d3d0c4e66bd96d583cec984910. Family volume: $5K.

Price history

11¢ current

30¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 12¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
10¢30
9¢419
7¢100
6¢373
5¢290
4¢172
3¢133
2¢426
AskSize
12¢85
13¢343
17¢464
18¢313
19¢1.0K
56¢18
57¢21
61¢116

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x4e06c069…4910

Event family

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

June 30 9¢

Current share

59%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5716.5%

IY (No)

87.3%

Adj IY

4677%

CRI

8

RV

1251%

VR

1.95

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5716.5%
87.3%
Adj IY
4677%
8
RV
1251%
VR
1.95
IAR
2.0/h
LAS
0.18

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index