Will Igor Thiago be in the Brazil World Cup final squad?
This contract is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 23¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$12K
Best sibling
Neymar 57¢
Ticker
KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-ITHI
Market snapshot
Igor Thiago in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Igor Thiago be in the Brazil World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 85¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $7. In the KXWCSQUAD-26BRA family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Igor Thiago
Family rank
#1 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
85¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 19, 2026
24h volume
$7
Family context
16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA
Quote range
1¢-75¢
Family leader
Igor Thiago 75¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-ITHI. Family volume: $12K.
Price history
85¢ current
+10¢Orderbook snapshot
75 / 98¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Igor Thiago is selected for the final squad for the Brazil national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 19, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-ITHI
Event family
KXWCSQUAD-26BRA.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Igor Thiago 75¢
Current share
0%
Igor Thiago
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-ITHI
Neymar
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-NEYM
Ederson da Silva
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-EDER
Eder Militao
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-EMIL
Gabriel Jesus
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-GJES
Savinho
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-SAVI
Weverton
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-WEVE
Guilherme Arana
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-GARA
Leo Ortiz
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-LORT
Vanderson
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-VAND
Pedro dos Santos
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-PEDR
Lucas Paqueta
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-LPAQ
Alex Telles
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-ATEL
Antony
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-ANTO
Estevao Willian
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-EWIL
Hugo Souza
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-HSOU
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 85% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.