What is the current probability for "Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 4¢ (4% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on August 3, 2026. 92 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 9524.5% and 16.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiAug 3, 202692 days left

Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

4¢

$1 volume

$1 liquidity

2% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$52

Best sibling

Mexico 4¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26FINAL-IRI

Price history

4¢ current

+3¢

Apr 10, 2026Apr 12, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 5¢

Kalshi

5¢ spread

BidSize

AskSize

5¢3.5K

6¢4.0K

10¢146

44¢2.3K

48¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If IR Iran is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26FINAL-IRI

Event family

KXWCROUND-26FINAL.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$52

Outcomes

Highest price

France 22¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

IR Iran

kalshi · KXWCROUND-26FINAL-IRI

4¢$0$0—

Mexico

kalshi · KXWCROUND-26FINAL-MEX