SimpleFunctions

Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner to win the Balaji N / Demoliner vs Schnaitter / Wallner

Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner is priced at 73¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 35¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29BALDEMSCHWAL.

Price history

73¢ current

+68¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner wins the Balaji N / Demoliner vs Schnaitter / Wallner professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner 55¢

Range

5¢-55¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29BALDEMSCHWAL-SCHWAL

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

73¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

55¢

Ask

90¢

Spread

35¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29BALDEMSCHWAL

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

55 / 90¢

Kalshi
35¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.8K
55¢1.0K
5¢10
4¢500
AskSize
90¢80
96¢500
97¢1
98¢731
99¢1.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner wins the Balaji N / Demoliner vs Schnaitter / Wallner professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29BALDEMSCHWAL-SCHWAL

SF Signal
SF Index
3073.45
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29BALDEMSCHWAL.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner 55¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2057.4%

IY (No)

3073.4%

Adj IY

3073%

CRI

1

RV

4652%

VR

7.51

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2057.4%
3073.4%
Adj IY
3073%
1
RV
4652%
VR
7.51
IAR
2.2/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.