JD Vance · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02
JD Vance is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02.
Price history
12¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If JD Vance publicly endorses Spencer Pratt in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
JD Vance
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26¢
Range
6¢-26¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-JVAN
May 25, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If JD Vance publicly endorses Spencer Pratt in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-JVAN
Event family
KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26¢
Current share
—
Marjorie Taylor Greene
kalshi · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-MTG
Steve Bannon
kalshi · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-SBAN
Donald Trump Jr.
kalshi · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-DTJR
Tucker Carlson
kalshi · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-TCAR
JD Vance
kalshi · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-JVAN
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXENDORSEPRATT-26JUN02-RFK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.