Before Jul 1, 2026 · Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J
Before Jul 1, 2026 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J.
Price history
15¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jul 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 53¢
Range
4¢-53¢
Family volume
$4
Identifier
KXLEAVETISCH-27JAN01-26JUL
May 26, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$477
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$4
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXLEAVETISCH-27JAN01-26JUL
Event family
Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 53¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.