Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J.
Price history
60¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 54¢
Range
5¢-54¢
Family volume
$371
Identifier
KXLEAVETISCH-27JAN01
May 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
58¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$371
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$371
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 58¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jessica Tisch has either officially announced their intention to leave NYPD Commissioner or has actually left NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXLEAVETISCH-27JAN01
Event family
Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$371
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 54¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.