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Will Jil Teichmann win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Jil Teichmann · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1

Will Jil Teichmann win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Jil Teichmann is priced at 17¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1.

Price history

17¢ current

9¢
0¢25¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Jil Teichmann wins set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Jil Teichmann win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Jil Teichmann

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova 81¢

Range

16¢-81¢

Family volume

$61

Identifier

KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1-TEI

May 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$61

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 17¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
16¢105
15¢2.4K
14¢982
13¢7.9K
12¢1.0K
AskSize
17¢800
18¢110
20¢250
21¢22
22¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jil Teichmann wins set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1-TEI

SF Signal
SF Index
13316.54
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$61

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova 81¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

13316.5%

IY (No)

483.1%

Adj IY

13317%

CRI

5

RV

6768%

VR

2.62

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13316.5%
483.1%
Adj IY
13317%
5
RV
6768%
VR
2.62
IAR
1.4/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.