Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1
Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1.
Price history
83¢ current
+30¢Contract brief
If Karolina Muchova wins set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova 83¢
Range
15¢-83¢
Family volume
$61
Identifier
KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1-MUC
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$61
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$61
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 85¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Karolina Muchova wins set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1-MUC
Event family
KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$61
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova 83¢
Current share
100%
Will Karolina Muchova win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Karolina Muchova
kalshi · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1-MUC
Will Jil Teichmann win set 1 in the Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova match: Jil Teichmann
kalshi · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29TEIMUC-1-TEI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 83% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.