Will Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$18K
Best sibling
Ashley Hinson 98¢
Ticker
0xfbea7ab8…b86e
Market snapshot
Jim Carlin in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $44. In the Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC.
Outcome
Jim Carlin
Family rank
#2 of 4
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
1¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 2, 2026
24h volume
$44
Family context
4 outcomes · Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-98¢
Family leader
Ashley Hinson 98¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0xfbea7ab873fa4c27580ee723155d8a24bcc182d03ef5205065e08ea02951b86e. Family volume: $18K.
Price history
1¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0xfbea7ab8…b86e
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Ashley Hinson 98¢
Current share
4%
Jim Carlin
polymarket · 0xfbea7ab873fa4c27580ee723155d8a24bcc182d03ef5205065e08ea02951b86e
Ashley Hinson
polymarket · 0x589b9e3f6dbeff018b943a2002bc6931a1ba85147b8f983ff6efe9aa576a6fe4
Joshua Smith
polymarket · 0x5d9d3570bf52f3bb1d89c9e913cdbcaa828e198607d9d8d6f85c43a5078a4960
John Berman
polymarket · 0xc0791c55bf3d6fe8edc56f6e23c8978ee42cb7fbc6e60443dec7cc1f4d4c1998
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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