J.J. Spaun · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26
J.J. Spaun is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26.
Price history
10¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If J.J. Spaun is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
J.J. Spaun
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Andrew Putnam 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$2.5M
Identifier
KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-JSPA
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$102K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$2.5M
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If J.J. Spaun is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-JSPA
Event family
KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2.5M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Andrew Putnam 16¢
Current share
4%
Andrew Putnam
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-APUT
Tom Kim
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-TKIM
Ryo Hisatsune
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-RHIS
Erik Van Rooyen
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-EVAN
Ryan Gerard
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-RGER
Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-ASMA
Max Greyserman
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-MGRE
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-BGRI
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-LABE
Rickie Fowler
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-RFOW
Gary Woodland
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-GWOO
Brian Harman
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-BHAR
Emiliano Grillo
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-EGRI
J.J. Spaun
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-JSPA
J.T. Poston
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-JPOS
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
kalshi · KXPGAR1LEAD-CHSC26-ADUM
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.