Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$17K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXFETTERMANSWITCH-26MAY-AUG01
Market snapshot
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $47. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
4¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Aug 1, 2026
24h volume
$47
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXFETTERMANSWITCH-26MAY-AUG01. Family volume: $17K.
Price history
4¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXFETTERMANSWITCH-26MAY-AUG01
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2026 4¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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