SimpleFunctions

John Healey · Next UK Prime Minister in 2026

John Healey is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

0¢ current

−50¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 13, 2026May 13, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

John Healey

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Andy Burnham 52¢

Range

0¢-52¢

Family volume

$7.2M

Identifier

0xf42f7a11...53b3

May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

0¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$225

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$7.2M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢210K
AskSize
0¢194
0¢31K
2¢30
3¢101
3¢175
3¢30
100¢139
100¢2.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xf42f7a11…53b3

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7.2M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Andy Burnham 52¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Andy Burnham

polymarket · 0x763a7f1e440693b54c56da02d338c2092053567dd865174387d06ee5612fdc9e

52¢
$654K$5K0.0

No Next PM in 2026

polymarket · 0x360229ef7e200995eeedfab6fd63514c8a43fcee803e8ac6dbe17065bd024d60

26¢
$463K$10K0.0

Angela Rayner

polymarket · 0xe955eda79ad9ac1e9c055edc23fb5134eb2ace68508645d261c4de8db921f8fa

9¢
$509K$1K0.1

Ed Miliband

polymarket · 0x9e329c0e729c96b40014938bc0cb63c1637995c571c7ba39bab72028e92525da

6¢
$377K$2K0.2

Wes Streeting

polymarket · 0x0de4c5e098c5101f7cce39d11dd3294873381b78c2794b6c6aea3142117f03a1

3¢
$316K$1K0.3

Nigel Farage

polymarket · 0x7ca95f6c38e50e158279df39b2f30dbd005edc94ee64c6e4f50912e40bd16b5c

1¢
$878K$2K—

Rachel Reeves

polymarket · 0x3c9119a8f3be868a667b922c13f2370bb14cd61944a6b96388df41aa59238213

1¢
$603K$8K—

Shabana Mahmood

polymarket · 0xc11e997578fa83b91b9a0838d90379960628d4834d887c6c5c427576834bc675

1¢
$334K$1K—

Yvette Cooper

polymarket · 0xb3fbac28ca420448a4c4b18a1cb6ef4db17d099e5674f5461fe848397d669382

1¢
$320K$3K—

Rupert Lowe

polymarket · 0xf365e4c2d0ed67ffb8263cac97570e02664099fd25d1a8bd201e53dc883d86f1

0¢
$779K$462—

David Lammy

polymarket · 0xe8320226abf954b7f252d4de969ddacf933a694ade8988834a457e8ce5649e5a

0¢
$446K$691—

Kemi Badenoch

polymarket · 0xf187c96c1972bff33fb19e543ae44c80f0e158db9d6e6e7d48242b1b83b6d1ae

0¢
$396K$358—

Robert Jenrick

polymarket · 0x6b4b89bb3bfeadcacfd1c256e75dc01e41589c4427387c7114ae6508fbc0e02b

0¢
$395K$4K—

Ed Davey

polymarket · 0x8e19827705b34f87e142d1112efbdbf8b66e07fcf523aef5deb08af99be057b1

0¢
$370K$5K—

Lucy Powell

polymarket · 0x74e5ba38a2cb8332c748ef8c74cadc36dc91f406a1a48870aca409c6449b03f5

0¢
$354K$14K—

John Healey

polymarket · 0xf42f7a11284f0a20a27680a4812c1f1ad774cc60b211f992fac7f497e8c753b3

0¢
$49K$225—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.