Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ
Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ.
Price history
47¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza wins the Ding vs Nascimento De Souza professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Meng Ding 53¢
Range
44¢-53¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ-NAJ
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$197
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jose Henrique Nascimento De Souza wins the Ding vs Nascimento De Souza professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ-NAJ
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Meng Ding 53¢
Current share
19%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.