SimpleFunctions

Meng Ding · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ

Meng Ding is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ.

Price history

56¢ current

+54¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 24, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Meng Ding wins the Ding vs Nascimento De Souza professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Meng Ding

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Meng Ding 49¢

Range

45¢-49¢

Family volume

$476

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ-DIN

May 26, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

56¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

53¢

Spread

24h volume

$358

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$476

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 53¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
49¢1
47¢500
46¢499
45¢555
43¢555
AskSize
53¢40
54¢18
55¢12
56¢569
57¢183

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Meng Ding wins the Ding vs Nascimento De Souza professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ-DIN

SF Signal
SF Index
2105.51
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30DINNAJ.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$476

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Meng Ding 49¢

Current share

75%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2105.5%

IY (No)

1943.6%

Adj IY

2106%

CRI

1

RV

359%

VR

0.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2105.5%
1943.6%
Adj IY
2106%
1
RV
359%
VR
0.79
IAR
1.4/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.