Julie Perry · KXVAPRIMARY-10R26
Julie Perry is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXVAPRIMARY-10R26.
Price history
34¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Julie Perry wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 VA-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Julie Perry
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Sam Wong 63¢
Range
2¢-63¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXVAPRIMARY-10R26-JPER
May 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$540
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXVAPRIMARY-10R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Julie Perry wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 VA-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXVAPRIMARY-10R26-JPER
Event family
KXVAPRIMARY-10R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Sam Wong 63¢
Current share
13%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.6
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.