What is the current probability for "Will Kansas City score over 4.5 runs?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 41¢ (41% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Kansas City score over 4.5 runs?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 16841.0% and 7484.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Kansas City score over 4.5 runs?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

Will Kansas City score over 4.5 runs?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 41¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

41¢

$0 volume

0.4 LAS liquidity

0% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$484

Best sibling

Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored 52¢

Ticker

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC5

Price history

41¢ current

+39¢

May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 42¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

40¢25

39¢128

36¢175

33¢1.0K

32¢5.0K

AskSize

42¢199

43¢50

45¢150

46¢1.0K

47¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Kansas City scores 5+ runs in the Kansas City vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC5

Event family

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$484

Outcomes

Highest price

Kansas City over 2.5 runs scored 65¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Kansas City over 4.5 runs scored

kalshi · KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC5

40¢$0$0—

Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored

kalshi · KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC4