SimpleFunctions

Karen Khachanov to win the Khachanov vs De Jong

Karen Khachanov is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY29KHADEJ.

Price history

72¢ current

+11¢
60¢70¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Karen Khachanov wins the Khachanov vs De Jong professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Karen Khachanov

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Karen Khachanov 71¢

Range

28¢-71¢

Family volume

$6K

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29KHADEJ-KHA

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

71¢

Ask

72¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY29KHADEJ

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$6K

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 72¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
71¢5.7K
70¢5.3K
69¢23K
68¢24K
67¢13K
AskSize
72¢24K
73¢48K
74¢23K
75¢16K
76¢6.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Karen Khachanov wins the Khachanov vs De Jong professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29KHADEJ-KHA

SF Signal
SF Index
6026.55
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29KHADEJ.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$6K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Karen Khachanov 71¢

Current share

92%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1019.8%

IY (No)

6112.7%

Adj IY

6027%

CRI

2

RV

450%

VR

1.22

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1019.8%
6112.7%
Adj IY
6027%
2
RV
450%
VR
1.22
IAR
0.6/h
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.