Keaton Wagler · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5
Keaton Wagler is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5.
Price history
39¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Keaton Wagler is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Keaton Wagler
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
AJ Dybantsa 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$188
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KWAG
May 28, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$188
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Keaton Wagler is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KWAG
Event family
KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$188
Outcomes
16
Highest price
AJ Dybantsa 99¢
Current share
0%
AJ Dybantsa
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-ADYB
Darryn Peterson
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-DPET
Caleb Wilson
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-CWIL
Cameron Boozer
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-CBOO
Keaton Wagler
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KWAG
Darius Acuff Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-DACU
Kingston Flemings
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KFLE
Mikel Brown Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-MBRO
Yaxel Lendeborg
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-YLEN
Jayden Quaintance
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-JQUA
Koa Peat
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KPEA
Karim Lopez
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-KLOP
Thomas Haugh
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-THAU
Chris Cenac Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-CCEN
Braylon Mullins
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-BMUL
Nate Ament
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-5-NAME
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.