Ken Calvert · KXCAPRIMARY-40FIRST26
Ken Calvert is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 60¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXCAPRIMARY-40FIRST26.
Price history
17¢ current
Contract brief
If Ken Calvert wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ken Calvert
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Young Kim 86¢
Range
1¢-86¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-40FIRST26-KCAL
May 24, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
60¢
Reported volume
$594
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-40FIRST26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ken Calvert wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-40FIRST26-KCAL
Event family
KXCAPRIMARY-40FIRST26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Young Kim 86¢
Current share
—
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.