SimpleFunctions

Keyon win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Scar and Keyon

Keyon is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR.

Price history

56¢ current

+11¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 15, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Keyon wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Scar and Keyon originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Keyon

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Keyon 50¢

Range

42¢-50¢

Family volume

$232

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR-KEYO

May 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

56¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

50¢

Ask

56¢

Spread

24h volume

$184

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$232

Orderbook snapshot

50 / 56¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
50¢169
48¢300
21¢699
2¢52
AskSize
56¢98
58¢150
60¢300
82¢61
83¢807

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Keyon wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Scar and Keyon originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR-KEYO

SF Signal
SF Index
952.46
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$232

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Keyon 50¢

Current share

79%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1904.9%
1904.9%
Adj IY
952%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.