Before Jan 1, 2028 · KXDST-27JAN01
Before Jan 1, 2028 is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXDST-27JAN01.
Price history
30¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 20, 2029 33¢
Range
18¢-33¢
Family volume
$233
Identifier
KXDST-27JAN01-28
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$303
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXDST-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$233
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXDST-27JAN01-28
Event family
KXDST-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$233
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 20, 2029 33¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.