Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) become law before J
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Will legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) become law before J.
Price history
91¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 91¢
Range
91¢-91¢
Family volume
$463
Identifier
KXICEERO-26MAR-JAN01
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$11K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Will legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) become law before J
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$463
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXICEERO-26MAR-JAN01
Event family
Will legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) become law before J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$463
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 91¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.