Yes · KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01
Yes is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
64¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01
Jun 6, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$13K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01
Event family
KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 64¢
Current share
—
Yes
kalshi · KXANDREWSUCCESSION-27JAN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.