Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before J
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before J.
Price history
38¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 37¢
Range
10¢-37¢
Family volume
$90
Identifier
KXSUSPENDGASTAX-26MAY-JAN01
May 26, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$90
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before J
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$90
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSUSPENDGASTAX-26MAY-JAN01
Event family
Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$90
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 37¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.