Lorenzo Sonego to win the Sonego vs Herbert
Lorenzo Sonego is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY25SONHER.
Price history
99¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If Lorenzo Sonego wins the Sonego vs Herbert professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lorenzo Sonego
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Lorenzo Sonego 71¢
Range
28¢-71¢
Family volume
$2.8M
Identifier
KXATPMATCH-26MAY25SONHER-SON
May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2.1M
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY25SONHER
Closes
Jun 8, 2026
Family volume
$2.8M
Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lorenzo Sonego wins the Sonego vs Herbert professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 8, 2026
Identifier
KXATPMATCH-26MAY25SONHER-SON
Event family
KXATPMATCH-26MAY25SONHER.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2.8M
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Lorenzo Sonego 71¢
Current share
57%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.