SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 19, 202638 days left

Will Luciano Juba be in the Brazil World Cup final squad?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$1K volume
$300 liquidity
9% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$12K

Best sibling

Neymar 57¢

Ticker

KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-LJUB

Market snapshot

Luciano Juba in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Luciano Juba be in the Brazil World Cup final squad?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $11. In the KXWCSQUAD-26BRA family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Luciano Juba

Family rank

#3 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 19, 2026

24h volume

$11

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26BRA

Quote range

1¢-57¢

Family leader

Neymar 57¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-LJUB. Family volume: $12K.

Price history

8¢ current

16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 19¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
16¢4
5¢5
4¢66
2¢95
AskSize
19¢25
23¢111
32¢16
44¢16
55¢217

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Luciano Juba is selected for the final squad for the Brazil national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 19, 2026

Identifier

KXWCSQUAD-26BRA-LJUB

SF Signal
SF Index
2033.85
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Squad Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCSQUAD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5006.4%

IY (No)

181.6%

Adj IY

2034%

CRI

5

Overround

17.2%

LAS

0.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5006.4%
181.6%
Adj IY
2034%
5
Overround
17.2%
LAS
0.19

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.