SimpleFunctions

Will LVV win the 2026 Kosovan parliamentary election

Will LVV win the 2026 Kosovan parliamentary election is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

98¢ current

+83¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 28, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If LVV wins the 2026 Kosovan parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will LVV win the 2026 Kosovan parliamentary election

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXKOSOVOPARLI-26JUN07-LVV

Jun 19, 2026, 1:46 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 1:46 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If LVV wins the 2026 Kosovan parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Identifier

KXKOSOVOPARLI-26JUN07-LVV

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will LVV win the 2026 Kosovan parliamentary election 98¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.