Maria Elvira Salazar · KXFLPRIMARY-27R26
Maria Elvira Salazar is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXFLPRIMARY-27R26.
Price history
50¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If Maria Elvira Salazar wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-27 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Maria Elvira Salazar
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Maria Elvira Salazar 2¢
Range
2¢-2¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-27R26-MSAL
May 25, 2026, 6:59 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
96¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-27R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Maria Elvira Salazar wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-27 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-27R26-MSAL
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-27R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Maria Elvira Salazar 2¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.